Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.376675 0.434804 0.498013 0.571730 0.655217 0.746710 0.854438
2025-10-05 0.284042 0.365009 0.461678 0.585016 0.737552 0.919323 1.151583
2025-10-12 0.239003 0.332370 0.451707 0.614108 0.827846 1.097846 1.462768
2025-10-19 0.203838 0.302866 0.436816 0.629032 0.895118 1.247364 1.745191
2025-10-26 0.175064 0.275894 0.419289 0.634833 0.946564 1.376168 2.006851
2025-11-02 0.150754 0.250819 0.399800 0.633365 0.984714 1.486589 2.248583
2025-11-09 0.129416 0.226642 0.377766 0.624170 1.008565 1.576006 2.464395
2025-11-16 0.111974 0.205860 0.357840 0.614904 1.029708 1.660900 2.677298
2025-11-23 0.095371 0.183921 0.333073 0.594506 1.030328 1.713063 2.842330
2025-11-30 0.090516 0.181651 0.340297 0.626657 1.116933 1.903354 3.232670
2025-12-07 0.078563 0.164764 0.320360 0.610382 1.121528 1.962668 3.418095
2025-12-14 0.068193 0.149337 0.301083 0.592883 1.121744 2.013655 3.591758
2025-12-21 0.059501 0.136141 0.284677 0.579368 1.128556 2.077541 3.794011
2025-12-28 0.055138 0.131203 0.283380 0.593754 1.186508 2.232797 4.161914
2026-01-04 0.052851 0.130319 0.289820 0.623315 1.274337 2.445462 4.641831
2026-01-11 0.049293 0.126110 0.289024 0.638447 1.335992 2.615211 5.056039
2026-01-18 0.045251 0.120189 0.283953 0.644327 1.380038 2.755426 5.425137
2026-01-25 0.041039 0.113215 0.275781 0.642839 1.409136 2.869313 5.752130
2026-02-01 0.036699 0.105254 0.264487 0.633519 1.421509 2.952091 6.025698
2026-02-08 0.032853 0.097921 0.253714 0.624127 1.432677 3.032749 6.299250
2026-02-15 0.028726 0.089171 0.238584 0.603451 1.418333 3.062364 6.476113
2026-02-22 0.028207 0.090114 0.246620 0.636040 1.519775 3.326828 7.123587
2026-03-01 0.024972 0.082949 0.234031 0.619543 1.513325 3.373946 7.345014